A little on-the-ground election analysis from Marin:
According to Marin County’s weekly, the Pacific Sun, "Marin County led the way in percentage of votes for Barack Obama in Tuesday’s presidential primary. Statewide, Obama received 42 percent of the vote to Hillary Clinton’s 52. Obama carried Marin with a margin of 55 to 39 percent, his largest spread of any county in the state."
The Marin Independent Journal, the county’s Gannett-owned daily, further reports that the biggest support for Obama came gushing out of the village of Ross where he landed almost 70% of the vote. Marin is super-affluent (highest per capita income of any county in the U.S.) but Ross is the wealthiest enclave, on par at least with Tiburon/Belvedere.
This is all very curious since Bill Clinton was at one time extremely popular here. To the best of my recollection, in the ‘96 presidential race he carried Marin with the widest margin of almost any county in the U.S.
Word on the street: voters were alienated by what they perceived to be Bill Clinton’s calculated South Carolina race-baiting.
Also, Obama has more "hip" appeal than Hillary as evidenced by the music vid featured below. Hillary is attracting the hip-replacement crowd, per Tom Brokaw’s comments on MSNBC during the Super Tuesday coverage. Marin, however, has the highest average age of any county in California. So much for the The vid is set to Obama’s stirring "yes we can" (or si se puede, a phrase coined by Cesar Chavez and Dolores Huerta) New Hampshire concession speech.
Celebrities featured include: Jesse Dylan, Will.i.am (of Black Eyed Peas), Common, Scarlett Johansson, Tatyana Ali, John Legend, Herbie Hancock, Kate Walsh, Kareem Abdul Jabbar, Adam Rodriquez, Kelly Hu, Adam Rodriquez, Amber Valetta, Eric Balfour, Aisha Tyler, Nicole Scherzinger and Nick Cannon.
UPDATE - Sunday, Feb.10. Even though the NY Times endorsed Hillary here comes a body blow from Frank Rich. Be forewarned. It’s withering even by Rich’s standards.
UPDATE - the latest explanation out of the Hillary camp. From Linda Mitchell, president of the Women’s National Political Caucus and Hillary backer, says the reason Hillary lost Washington is because women don’t go to caucuses. (NY Times, Feb. 8, ‘08. "Politics in Washington State Are Lively Though Puzzling.")
It’s an extraordinary comment. "…our base, women, are not really Democratic party activists who go to caucuses…they’re usually working or they are taking care of children."
This remark appears to be contradicted by Emily’s list: "Women make up 57 percent of active registered Democrats but a smaller majority of caucus goers at 54 percent."
By all accounts Washington State Democratic caucus attendance soared. I haven’t seen Washington State breakdown but by this logic that 3% is the factual basis for Mitchell’s sweeping claim.
Disgusted, my husband threw down the NY Times at that point. "Funny," he said, "when their back is against the wall, they’re not very feminist."
In fact, Democratic women are caucusing in huge numbers. In Iowa, record numbers turn out for the caucuses. From Politico.com:
Perhaps most stunning, about 234,000 Democrats turned out Thursday night, shattering the previous mark of 124,000… It was, however, Clinton’s modest support among women that is a foreboding sign for the New York senator…Women comprised 56 percent of Democratic voters. But Clinton won only 30 percent. Obama narrowly led her with 33 percent support among women.
From the Seattle Times:
Democrats reported record turnout all around the state. There were 18,220 people at caucuses in Seattle’s 36th Legislative District. That’s up from 7,529 four years ago.Or Read the blog of Seattle Times David Postman where he reported on the caucus stampede.