Study: 58M Cable-Modem Subs by ‘08


Global cable-modem subscribers grew 22% between 2003 and 2004 to 41 million, according to Infonetics Research Inc.’s “Cable Aggregation Hardware” quarterly worldwide market-share and forecast report.

Infonetics sees continued strong but slowing growth through 2008, when it expects subscribers to total 58 million.

Worldwide cable-modem-termination-system revenue fell 25% between the fourth quarter of 2004 and the first quarter of 2005, to $145 million -- a drop that was expected after an especially large fourth quarter and a record-setting year in 2004, the researcher said. This marks the first down quarter after seven quarterly increases in a row.

“The bull rush in the CMTS market will pick up next quarter and continue at least through 2008, fueled by high-speed Internet, telephony, PacketCable Multimedia and wideband-cable DOCSIS [Data Over Cable Service Interface Specification] 3.0 upgrades, driven first by North America, then Asia-Pacific and, later, Europe," Infonetics principal analyst and lead author of the report Michael Howard said in a prepared statement.